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The Question
Will China and India Back Down?
A New Sanctions Strategy
What's in the Bill
Secondary Sanctions
Questions Regarding Sanctions Imposition
How Will Russia Respond to the Sanctions?
Will the Bill Become a Law?
The Broader Global Context
Russia Is Fragmenting
Russia's Porous Air Defenses
The Failed Oil Shock Exploitation
Dwindling Russian Recruitment
Military Independence from the U.S.
Trump Inauguration Special: Assistance for Ukraine, America's Priorities, Unpredictability, and More
How I Would Broker a Ceasefire
A Leak from the Kremlin?
Is the Best Comparison Pearl Harbor?
What Costs Did Russia Suffer from the Attack?
Is a Peace Deal Closer Now?
Putting Operation Rising Lion in Context
What Stuxnet Did
The Grey Zone of Conflict
The Changing Nature of Oil Markets
Where the Oil Markets Were Before the War
Historical Concerns about War Against Iran and Oil Shocks
Evolution in the Geography of Oil Exports
A Good Time to Study International Relations
Leader Biases as a Cause of War
Zero Costs vs. Private Benefits
Rally 'Round the Flag Effects
Gambling for Resurrection
Leader Retirement Incentives
Introduction
Explaining Behavior Versus Instructing Leaders
The Public Education Gap
Did I Stop a War?
Is Russia Broken?
The Puzzle
What If People Are Somewhat Altruistic?
The Current Situation
The Front Is Frozen
A Recession in Russia
The Problem With This Theory
The Shift in Domestic Power
Why Russia Benefits from the Iran War
What's in the Iran Deal?
Why Russia’s Recession Won’t Revive Recruitment Rates
The Game Theory of Ukraine’s Attack on Saint Petersburg
What Causes Wars: An Introduction to Crisis Bargaining Theory
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